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Development of a model of community functioning during disasters: The CoPE-WELL model
Visit the JHSPH COPEWELL website here.
JHSPH Center for Health Security: Tom Inglesby, PI, with project staff at the JHSPH Center for Health Security
Johns Hopkins University: Jon Links, Team Lead and PI, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health (JHSPH), and the JHSPH/JHU CoPE-WELL team
University of Delaware: Jim Kendra, PI, and the University of Delaware Disaster Research Center CoPE-WELL Team
US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC): Eric Carbone, Director, Office of Applied Research and CoPE-WELL Program Manager
Independent Contributors: Cathy Slemp and Bob Burhans
Background: Practitioners and policymakers currently do not have a systematic way of assessing:
- The current state of disaster resilience at the local level
- The factors that contribute most to a resilient community
- Levels of resilience among communities around the country
Purpose: Provide practitioners and policymakers with a tool to help:
- Predict how much community functioning might be affected by a disaster, and the time it might take for community functioning to rebound to pre-disaster levels
- Explore the potential effects of various pre-, peri-, and post-event interventions on community resilience, in a given community
- Support and spark cross-sector dialogue leading to a greater understanding of what influences disaster resilience
- Engage communities in strengthening resilience together
Approach: Group development of conceptual and systems dynamic computation models to predict the time course of community functioning following a disaster. Other aspects of the projects include qualitative and quantitative validation efforts, in-depth stakeholder engagement, evaluation of measures, and development of specific use cases of the model.
- Establish a county-level model of community functioning and disaster resilience
- Identify domains and subdomains that influence resilience
- Identify measures that provide reasonable representation of capabilities or capacity in given domains
- Use a system dynamics approach to account for key interactions between domains over time
- Evaluate the accuracy and practical utility of the model
- Build a version of the model as a decision-support tool to assist planning
Meetings/Reports/Events: The CoPE-WELL team recently held a stakeholder engagement event to gain feedback from practitioners who may use the CoPE-WELL model in the future. Additional engagement will continue with the presentation and discussion of the model at the Public Health Preparedness Summit.
Supported By: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and Johns Hopkins University