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Center for Health Security’s infectious disease prediction project launches policy dashboard

October 2, 2019

The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security is excited to announce the launch of its disease prediction policy dashboard. Over the past 9 months, the Center has run an online platform that has tested the effectiveness of collective intelligence as a tool for predicting outbreak outcomes. The disease prediction policy dashboard makes the results of current and archived forecasting efforts available to the public and highlights potential policy implications that stem from their results.

disease prediction policy dashboard logo

Novel methods in disease prediction have the potential to have a positive impact on public health response efforts. Researchers at the Center have tested the merits of collective intelligence, a form of information crowdsourcing, as a complementary tool for outbreak response.

Since the beginning of this year, the research team has asked more than 35 questions relating to outbreaks spanning the globe. Forecasts on these questions, as well as individual participant rationales, provided insight that could inform a decision maker during a future outbreak. The policy dashboard provides feedback on a number of these past questions and on new questions as forecasts come in. The goal is to increase the visibility and usefulness of this information.

“We are excited to launch this new feature of our collective disease forecasting project, and to provide policymakers the opportunity to learn from the predictions of our forecasting panel,” said Dr. Tara Kirk Sell, one of the project’s co-principal investigators.

Collective Intelligence for Disease Prediction is currently in its second 6-month phase, which will run until the end of this year. It is not too late to join the forecasting community.

The project is supported by funding from the Open Philanthropy Project.

About the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security:

The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security works to protect people from epidemics and disasters and build resilient communities through innovative scholarship, engagement, and research that strengthens the organizations, systems, policies, and programs essential to preventing and responding to public health crises. The Center is part of the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and is located in Baltimore, MD.



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